Foresight 2010

What do you think South Africa needs to do in 2010? (Aside from winning the World Cup).

That was the question that Judge Dennis Davis put to the panel at the GIBS annual “Foresight 2010” forum. A quick survey of the members of his jury presented a variety of bullish and bearish responses – as well as one too many “Pass” cards, and talk of creating rather than predicting the future. The optimists got cross-examined for being unrealistic, while the pessimists were lambasted for being vague.

To be fair, the Judge was right. For all the talk of needing values, accountability, active citizenship, public-private dialogue – what does that actually mean? When push came to shove, to state some concrete action that the government should do in 2010 nobody wanted to put their neck on the line. Which was – ironically – stated as part of the problem and why business avoided engaging in debate with government, by Brian Bruce, CEO, Murray & Roberts among others.

What we might agree on is that there needs to be a vision for South Africa. What I don’t agree with is that business and government should share one same vision. By their very natures they will diverge completely – their interests lie in different corners. Yes, there needs to be co-operation, whereby government facilitates business to reach its goal, but the friction between the two – and the role that citizens play across both – is what drives change, and hopefully progress.

Michael Jordaan, CEO, First National Bank, was one of the panellists who came back to the human resources that South Africa has – training and keeping talent. Without going into the debate around school and university education that they embarked upon, it is also a key theme emerging in the survey that africapractice is conducting of African businesses, opportunities and challenges for the year ahead.

Chief Rabbi Warren Goldstein took it one step further, talking about the importance of the human spirit, the need to have faith in people and their ability to deliver. However, he was also the one who addressed my question of what South Africa needs to do to improve the perception of the country abroad and attract foreign investment with a very swift and succinct response: “Crime”. How much faith does he have in the people committing the crime to stop, or the people set to stop it succeeding?

Wendy Luhabe, chancellor of the University of Johannesburg, had been the only one to reference the outside world (aside from mention of that old Global Economic Crisis, of course). What must foreign investors think of the lack of discourse and progress being made by the Government and Business Community in South Africa?
When push came to shove, and Judge Dennis insisted they give him an answer to what single step was needed, Bonang Mohale, chairman and VP, sales and operations, Shell, SA, said leadership, and repeated the old adage, "People get the leadership they deserve". I didn’t know that South Africa spends more per capita on education and healthcare than most countries in the world, but the results still point to failed leadership. Without government representation present, the panel represents some of the best business leadership the country has. If they can’t step up and take account for engaging government and civil society in the debate they talk about, then who can?

A thought provoking discussion, but one that brought up more questions than answers. Who will start the discourse? I can’t help thinking it will fall back to the media once again....

African Innovation Comes to London

In the past month or so I have been spoilt for choice when it comes to Africa-focused events here in London. I am always pleasantly surprised by just how many Africa-enthusiasts are based on this little island – there are of course the 2 million-odd diasporans with family links to the continent and many others who have taken a keen interest in the continent for other reasons. I have found both types of people at Africa Gathering and BarCamp Africa UK recently and both events have been buzzing with ideas, entrepreneurialism and enthusiasm for positive change and innovation in Africa.

Africa Gathering in October brought together thinkers and do-ers ranging from philanthropist Bill Liao to the founder of FrontlineSMS, Ken Banks and the eccentric Kevin “Banana Man” Alan. The inspiring rapper Emmanuel Jal gave a moving account of his experience as a child soldier in Sudan and how he is only eating one meal a day until he has raised enough money for his charity Gua Africa to build a school in his hometown to educate young people affected by war.

I was at the first Africa BarCamp in the UK at the weekend along with a hundred or so other tech enthusiasts sharing some really exciting ideas. Miquel Hudin shared his website, Maneno (meaning ‘words’ in Kiswahili) which is a communication and blogging application built to serve the specific needs of Sub-Saharan Africa. Frederick Wamala from the LSE shared his thoughts on how we must secure Africa’s newly acquired fast internet from cyber crime in order for it to be an effective medium for Africa's development.

I’ve had some fascinating conversations at these events and have been really happy to see just how many people are as excited about opportunity in Africa as I am. Growth and opportunity have been key themes that have come out of both events as well as the African philosophy of Ubuntu (we are who we are because of others) which I see as fitting for the take-up in interactive and social media across the continent.

Things you might not know about Africa

The africapractice team had emails flying round in response to the question: What do people not know about Africa?

There are plenty of preconceptions and misconceptions about the continent, but here are a few of the facts and figures that came up last week:

• Seven countries in Africa account for more than fifty per cent of the population (Nigeria, Ethiopia, DRC, SA, Tanzania, Kenya, Sudan)
• Africa holds about 10% of the world's proven oil reserves
• There are up to 100 million members of the African Diaspora
• The longest cable car in the world is in Nigeria
• South Africa sold $1.8 billion worth of cars to the US last year, putting us ahead of Sweden and Italy as suppliers to the US market
• Africa is most affected by climate change but only produces 3% of global emissions
• Approximately half the population of Africa is under the age of 18
• Kenya is one of only five countries in the world that generates more than 15% of their electricity from geothermal sources
• Africa is the fastest growing telecoms market in the world
• Nigeria has a population the sum of the thirty one smallest countries in Africa
• Only 4% of Africa's hydropower potential is utilised currently
• Rwanda is ranked first by the Inter-Parliamentary Union in terms of the percentage of female politicians in its lower chamber, with 56.3 percent.
• The largest cement plant in the world is being built in Nigeria
• South Africa is the first, and to date only, country to build nuclear weapons and then voluntarily dismantle its entire nuclear weapons programme
• Almost 50% of all African immigrants in the United States hold a college diploma
• In the mid 1990s, there were more phones in New York City than the whole of Africa. But if the growth curve in mobile devices in Africa continues, it is likely to surpass the United States in number of mobile consumers
• The city of Pretoria, in South Africa, has the second largest number of embassies in the world after Washington, D.C.

A list of facts won't change people's image of Africa in one go, but it's all part of a far richer picture then a lot of people realise exists.